Donaufeld Wien vs Mattersburg SV 2020 Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Donaufeld Wien vs Mattersburg SV 2020
Model pick: Donaufeld Wien (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 0.48
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Donaufeld Wien | Mattersburg SV 2020 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
*Donaufeld Wien shown at home, Mattersburg SV 2020 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Donaufeld Wien — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 83% of home games go over 2.5.
Mattersburg SV 2020 — last 5
LLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Donaufeld Wien (home) | Mattersburg SV 2020 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 0.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Donaufeld Wien or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Mattersburg SV 2020 or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Donaufeld Wien clean sheet | 62% |
| Mattersburg SV 2020 clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Donaufeld Wien is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Donaufeld Wien are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Donaufeld Wien vs Mattersburg SV 2020 — FAQ
Who will win Donaufeld Wien vs Mattersburg SV 2020?
Our statistical model makes Donaufeld Wien the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Donaufeld Wien 56%, draw 29%, Mattersburg SV 2020 15%.
Will both teams score in Donaufeld Wien vs Mattersburg SV 2020?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Donaufeld Wien vs Mattersburg SV 2020?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Donaufeld Wien and 0.48 for Mattersburg SV 2020 — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Donaufeld Wien vs Mattersburg SV 2020?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (21%). Double chance for Donaufeld Wien or draw is 87%.