Dornbirn vs Fugen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Dornbirn vs Fugen
Model pick: Dornbirn (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.84 – 0.86
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dornbirn | Fugen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
*Dornbirn shown at home, Fugen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dornbirn — last 5
LDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 14% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Fugen — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dornbirn (home) | Fugen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 14% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.31
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.84 vs 0.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Dornbirn or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Fugen or draw (X2) | 22% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Dornbirn clean sheet | 42% |
| Fugen clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dornbirn is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Dornbirn are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dornbirn vs Fugen — FAQ
Who will win Dornbirn vs Fugen?
Our statistical model makes Dornbirn the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Dornbirn 73%, draw 16%, Fugen 11%.
Will both teams score in Dornbirn vs Fugen?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Dornbirn vs Fugen?
Expected goals are 2.84 for Dornbirn and 0.86 for Fugen — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dornbirn vs Fugen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Dornbirn or draw is 91%.