Dornbirn vs Lochau Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Dornbirn vs Lochau
Model pick: Lochau (92%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.09 – 3.17
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 26%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dornbirn | Lochau |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.2 | 1.0 / 1.33 |
*Dornbirn shown at home, Lochau shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dornbirn — last 5
LLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 13% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Lochau — last 5
LDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dornbirn (home) | Lochau (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 13% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 0% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.09 vs 3.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (20%) |
| Double chance — Dornbirn or draw (1X) | 5% |
| Double chance — Lochau or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 95% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Dornbirn clean sheet | 4% |
| Lochau clean sheet | 91% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lochau is the model's most likely outcome at
92%. Despite playing away, Lochau edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dornbirn vs Lochau — FAQ
Who will win Dornbirn vs Lochau?
Our statistical model makes Lochau the most likely result at 92%. Full probabilities: Dornbirn 1%, draw 8%, Lochau 92%.
Will both teams score in Dornbirn vs Lochau?
The model gives a 26% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dornbirn vs Lochau?
Expected goals are 0.09 for Dornbirn and 3.17 for Lochau — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dornbirn vs Lochau?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (20%). Double chance for Dornbirn or draw is 5%.