Dorogi vs Komaromi VSE Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Dorogi vs Komaromi VSE
Model pick: Dorogi (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 11.14 – 0.36
Total goals: 11.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dorogi | Komaromi VSE |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.25 / 0.25 | 2.5 / 1.5 |
*Dorogi shown at home, Komaromi VSE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dorogi — last 5
WWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Komaromi VSE — last 5
DWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dorogi (home) | Komaromi VSE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (11.14 vs 0.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (27%) |
| Double chance — Dorogi or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Komaromi VSE or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Dorogi clean sheet | 70% |
| Komaromi VSE clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dorogi is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Dorogi are backed at home, where they average 5.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dorogi vs Komaromi VSE — FAQ
Who will win Dorogi vs Komaromi VSE?
Our statistical model makes Dorogi the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Dorogi 100%, draw 0%, Komaromi VSE 0%.
Will both teams score in Dorogi vs Komaromi VSE?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dorogi vs Komaromi VSE?
Expected goals are 11.14 for Dorogi and 0.36 for Komaromi VSE — about 11.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dorogi vs Komaromi VSE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (27%). Double chance for Dorogi or draw is 100%.