Drochtersen/Assel vs Werder Bremen II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Drochtersen/Assel vs Werder Bremen II
Model pick: Drochtersen/Assel (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.22 – 0.63
Total goals: 5.8
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Drochtersen/Assel | Werder Bremen II |
|---|
| League position | #8 (6 pts) | #18 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.5 | 2.0 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
*Drochtersen/Assel shown at home, Werder Bremen II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Drochtersen/Assel — last 5
WWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Werder Bremen II — last 5
WLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Drochtersen/Assel (home) | Werder Bremen II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (2.0 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.31
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.22 vs 0.63):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Drochtersen/Assel or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Werder Bremen II or draw (X2) | 4% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Drochtersen/Assel clean sheet | 53% |
| Werder Bremen II clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Drochtersen/Assel is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Drochtersen/Assel are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.8, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Drochtersen/Assel vs Werder Bremen II — FAQ
Who will win Drochtersen/Assel vs Werder Bremen II?
Our statistical model makes Drochtersen/Assel the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: Drochtersen/Assel 94%, draw 4%, Werder Bremen II 2%.
Will both teams score in Drochtersen/Assel vs Werder Bremen II?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Drochtersen/Assel vs Werder Bremen II?
Expected goals are 5.22 for Drochtersen/Assel and 0.63 for Werder Bremen II — about 5.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Drochtersen/Assel vs Werder Bremen II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-0 (10%). Double chance for Drochtersen/Assel or draw is 99%.