Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Žilina Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Slovakia) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Žilina
Model pick: Žilina (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.31 – 2.02
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | Žilina |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #6 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 4.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
*Dukla Banská Bystrica shown at home, Žilina shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dukla Banská Bystrica — last 5
DWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 19% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Žilina — last 5
WDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dukla Banská Bystrica (home) | Žilina (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 4.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 19% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 55% |
Super Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.76
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Super Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.31 vs 2.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw (1X) | 46% |
| Double chance — Žilina or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica clean sheet | 13% |
| Žilina clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Žilina is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Despite playing away, Žilina edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Žilina — FAQ
Who will win Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Žilina?
Our statistical model makes Žilina the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Dukla Banská Bystrica 26%, draw 23%, Žilina 51%.
Will both teams score in Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Žilina?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Žilina?
Expected goals are 1.31 for Dukla Banská Bystrica and 2.02 for Žilina — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Žilina?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw is 46%.