Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi
Model pick: Erdi (95%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.41 – 4.78
Total goals: 5.2
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dunaharaszti MTK | Erdi |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 2.67 | 3.0 / 1.67 |
*Dunaharaszti MTK shown at home, Erdi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dunaharaszti MTK — last 5
DLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Erdi — last 5
WDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dunaharaszti MTK (home) | Erdi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.41 vs 4.78):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-4 (13%) |
| Double chance — Dunaharaszti MTK or draw (1X) | 3% |
| Double chance — Erdi or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 98% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Dunaharaszti MTK clean sheet | 1% |
| Erdi clean sheet | 66% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Erdi is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. Despite playing away, Erdi edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.2, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi — FAQ
Who will win Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi?
Our statistical model makes Erdi the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: Dunaharaszti MTK 1%, draw 4%, Erdi 95%.
Will both teams score in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi?
Expected goals are 0.41 for Dunaharaszti MTK and 4.78 for Erdi — about 5.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-4 (13%). Double chance for Dunaharaszti MTK or draw is 3%.