Dundee vs Hibernian Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Scotland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Dundee vs Hibernian
Model pick: Hibernian (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.62
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dundee | Hibernian |
|---|
| League position | #2 (6 pts) | #7 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 0.4 |
*Dundee shown at home, Hibernian shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dundee — last 5
WLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Hibernian — last 5
WWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dundee (home) | Hibernian (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 48% |
| Top scorer | Simon Murray (7) | – |
Premier League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Premier League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.29 vs 1.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Dundee or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Hibernian or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Dundee clean sheet | 20% |
| Hibernian clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hibernian is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Hibernian edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dundee vs Hibernian — FAQ
Who will win Dundee vs Hibernian?
Our statistical model makes Hibernian the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Dundee 31%, draw 26%, Hibernian 43%.
Will both teams score in Dundee vs Hibernian?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Dundee vs Hibernian?
Expected goals are 1.29 for Dundee and 1.62 for Hibernian — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dundee vs Hibernian?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Dundee or draw is 55%.