Durango vs Piratas Prediction & Preview
Primera A (Mexico) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 01:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA A (MEXICO)
Durango vs Piratas
Model pick: Draw (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 0.47
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 10%
Both teams score: 16%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Durango | Piratas |
|---|
| League position | #2 (6 pts) | #7 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 0.0 |
*Durango shown at home, Piratas shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Durango — last 5
DLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Piratas — last 5
DW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Durango (home) | Piratas (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 0% |
Primera A (Mexico) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.53
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Primera A (Mexico) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 0.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (58%) |
| Double chance — Durango or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Piratas or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 40% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Durango clean sheet | 63% |
| Piratas clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (90% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Durango vs Piratas — FAQ
Who will win Durango vs Piratas?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Durango 6%, draw 58%, Piratas 36%.
Will both teams score in Durango vs Piratas?
The model gives a 16% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Durango vs Piratas?
Expected goals are 0.07 for Durango and 0.47 for Piratas — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Durango vs Piratas?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (58%). Double chance for Durango or draw is 65%.