Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction & Preview
Bundesliga 2 (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BUNDESLIGA 2 (GERMANY)
Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98
Model pick: Dynamo Dresden (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.55 – 1.51
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dynamo Dresden | Darmstadt 98 |
|---|
| League position | #17 (0 pts) | #8 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.2 | 3.0 / 1.2 |
*Dynamo Dresden shown at home, Darmstadt 98 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dynamo Dresden — last 5
WWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Darmstadt 98 — last 5
WWWDD
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 63% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dynamo Dresden (home) | Darmstadt 98 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 63% |
| Top scorer | Vincent Vermeij (11) | – |
Bundesliga 2 (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Bundesliga 2 (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.55 vs 1.51):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Dynamo Dresden or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Darmstadt 98 or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Dynamo Dresden clean sheet | 22% |
| Darmstadt 98 clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dynamo Dresden is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Dynamo Dresden are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98 — FAQ
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98?
Our statistical model makes Dynamo Dresden the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Dynamo Dresden 42%, draw 26%, Darmstadt 98 32%.
Will both teams score in Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98?
Expected goals are 1.55 for Dynamo Dresden and 1.51 for Darmstadt 98 — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Dynamo Dresden or draw is 63%.