Dynamo Makhachkala 2 vs FK Chayka 2 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Dynamo Makhachkala 2 vs FK Chayka 2
Model pick: Dynamo Makhachkala 2 (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.16 – 0.25
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 33%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dynamo Makhachkala 2 | FK Chayka 2 |
|---|
| League position | #14 (13 pts) | #15 (8 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.4 | 0.4 / 2.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 10% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Dynamo Makhachkala 2 shown at home, FK Chayka 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dynamo Makhachkala 2 — last 5
DLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
FK Chayka 2 — last 5
WLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dynamo Makhachkala 2 (home) | FK Chayka 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-3-3 in 8 (1.1 / 1.4 goals per game) | 1-0-9 in 10 (0.4 / 2.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.16 vs 0.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (28%) |
| Double chance — Dynamo Makhachkala 2 or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — FK Chayka 2 or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Dynamo Makhachkala 2 clean sheet | 78% |
| FK Chayka 2 clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dynamo Makhachkala 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Dynamo Makhachkala 2 are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dynamo Makhachkala 2 vs FK Chayka 2 — FAQ
Who will win Dynamo Makhachkala 2 vs FK Chayka 2?
Our statistical model makes Dynamo Makhachkala 2 the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Dynamo Makhachkala 2 56%, draw 33%, FK Chayka 2 10%.
Will both teams score in Dynamo Makhachkala 2 vs FK Chayka 2?
The model gives a 33% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dynamo Makhachkala 2 vs FK Chayka 2?
Expected goals are 1.16 for Dynamo Makhachkala 2 and 0.25 for FK Chayka 2 — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dynamo Makhachkala 2 vs FK Chayka 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (28%). Double chance for Dynamo Makhachkala 2 or draw is 92%.