East Stirlingshire vs Tranent Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
East Stirlingshire vs Tranent
Model pick: Tranent (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.57 – 1.47
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| East Stirlingshire | Tranent |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*East Stirlingshire shown at home, Tranent shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
East Stirlingshire — last 5
WDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Tranent — last 5
LWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | East Stirlingshire (home) | Tranent (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.46
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.57 vs 1.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (19%) |
| Double chance — East Stirlingshire or draw (1X) | 41% |
| Double chance — Tranent or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| East Stirlingshire clean sheet | 23% |
| Tranent clean sheet | 57% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tranent is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Despite playing away, Tranent edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ East Stirlingshire vs Tranent — FAQ
Who will win East Stirlingshire vs Tranent?
Our statistical model makes Tranent the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: East Stirlingshire 17%, draw 28%, Tranent 55%.
Will both teams score in East Stirlingshire vs Tranent?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in East Stirlingshire vs Tranent?
Expected goals are 0.57 for East Stirlingshire and 1.47 for Tranent — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in East Stirlingshire vs Tranent?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (19%). Double chance for East Stirlingshire or draw is 41%.