Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham FC Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham FC
Model pick: Ebbsfleet United (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 0.89
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ebbsfleet United | Horsham FC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Ebbsfleet United shown at home, Horsham FC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ebbsfleet United — last 5
WLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 68% of home games go over 2.5.
Horsham FC — last 5
LDDWW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ebbsfleet United (home) | Horsham FC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 40% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 0.89):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Ebbsfleet United or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Horsham FC or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Ebbsfleet United clean sheet | 41% |
| Horsham FC clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ebbsfleet United is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Ebbsfleet United are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham FC — FAQ
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham FC?
Our statistical model makes Ebbsfleet United the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Ebbsfleet United 48%, draw 28%, Horsham FC 24%.
Will both teams score in Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham FC?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham FC?
Expected goals are 1.47 for Ebbsfleet United and 0.89 for Horsham FC — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham FC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Ebbsfleet United or draw is 77%.