Eckernforder SV vs Holstein Kiel II Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Eckernforder SV vs Holstein Kiel II
Model pick: Holstein Kiel II (83%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.68 – 3.47
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Eckernforder SV | Holstein Kiel II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Eckernforder SV shown at home, Holstein Kiel II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Eckernforder SV — last 5
D
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Holstein Kiel II — last 5
WD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Eckernforder SV (home) | Holstein Kiel II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.05
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.68 vs 3.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (11%) |
| Double chance — Eckernforder SV or draw (1X) | 12% |
| Double chance — Holstein Kiel II or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Eckernforder SV clean sheet | 3% |
| Holstein Kiel II clean sheet | 51% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Holstein Kiel II is the model's most likely outcome at
83%. Despite playing away, Holstein Kiel II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Eckernforder SV vs Holstein Kiel II — FAQ
Who will win Eckernforder SV vs Holstein Kiel II?
Our statistical model makes Holstein Kiel II the most likely result at 83%. Full probabilities: Eckernforder SV 6%, draw 11%, Holstein Kiel II 83%.
Will both teams score in Eckernforder SV vs Holstein Kiel II?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Eckernforder SV vs Holstein Kiel II?
Expected goals are 0.68 for Eckernforder SV and 3.47 for Holstein Kiel II — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Eckernforder SV vs Holstein Kiel II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (11%). Double chance for Eckernforder SV or draw is 12%.