Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf
Model pick: Egersund (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.59 – 1.04
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Egersund | Sandnes Ulf |
|---|
| League position | #9 (19 pts) | #7 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 62% | 29% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 4.0 |
*Egersund shown at home, Sandnes Ulf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Egersund — last 5
WWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Sandnes Ulf — last 5
LLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Egersund (home) | Sandnes Ulf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-1-2 in 8 (1.8 / 1.1 goals per game) | 2-1-4 in 7 (1.3 / 1.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 58% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.59 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Egersund or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Sandnes Ulf or draw (X2) | 29% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Egersund clean sheet | 35% |
| Sandnes Ulf clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Egersund is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Egersund are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf — FAQ
Who will win Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf?
Our statistical model makes Egersund the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Egersund 54%, draw 23%, Sandnes Ulf 23%.
Will both teams score in Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf?
Expected goals are 2.59 for Egersund and 1.04 for Sandnes Ulf — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Egersund or draw is 87%.