Egestorf-Langreder vs Wilhelmshaven Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Egestorf-Langreder vs Wilhelmshaven
Model pick: Wilhelmshaven (99%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.24 – 7.1
Total goals: 7.3
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Egestorf-Langreder | Wilhelmshaven |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.5 | 1.33 / 1.67 |
*Egestorf-Langreder shown at home, Wilhelmshaven shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Egestorf-Langreder — last 5
DL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Wilhelmshaven — last 5
LWW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Egestorf-Langreder (home) | Wilhelmshaven (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.24 vs 7.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-7 (16%) |
| Double chance — Egestorf-Langreder or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Wilhelmshaven or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Egestorf-Langreder clean sheet | 0% |
| Wilhelmshaven clean sheet | 79% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wilhelmshaven is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Despite playing away, Wilhelmshaven edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 7.3, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Egestorf-Langreder vs Wilhelmshaven — FAQ
Who will win Egestorf-Langreder vs Wilhelmshaven?
Our statistical model makes Wilhelmshaven the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Egestorf-Langreder 0%, draw 1%, Wilhelmshaven 99%.
Will both teams score in Egestorf-Langreder vs Wilhelmshaven?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Egestorf-Langreder vs Wilhelmshaven?
Expected goals are 0.24 for Egestorf-Langreder and 7.1 for Wilhelmshaven — about 7.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Egestorf-Langreder vs Wilhelmshaven?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-7 (16%). Double chance for Egestorf-Langreder or draw is 0%.