Eibar vs Tenerife Prediction & Preview
Segunda (Spain) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA (SPAIN)
Eibar vs Tenerife
Model pick: Eibar (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.26 – 0.67
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Eibar | Tenerife |
|---|
| League position | #7 (0 pts) | #5 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 2.8 / 1.0 |
*Eibar shown at home, Tenerife shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Eibar — last 5
DDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Tenerife — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 35% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Eibar (home) | Tenerife (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 35% |
Segunda (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.29
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Segunda (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.26 vs 0.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Eibar or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Tenerife or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Eibar clean sheet | 51% |
| Tenerife clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Eibar is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Eibar are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Eibar vs Tenerife — FAQ
Who will win Eibar vs Tenerife?
Our statistical model makes Eibar the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Eibar 49%, draw 29%, Tenerife 22%.
Will both teams score in Eibar vs Tenerife?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Eibar vs Tenerife?
Expected goals are 1.26 for Eibar and 0.67 for Tenerife — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Eibar vs Tenerife?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Eibar or draw is 80%.