Einheit Rudolstadt vs Bautzen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Einheit Rudolstadt vs Bautzen
Model pick: Bautzen (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.28 – 2.31
Total goals: 4.6
Over 2.5: 72%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Einheit Rudolstadt | Bautzen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.25 / 2.5 | 1.0 / 9.5 |
*Einheit Rudolstadt shown at home, Bautzen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Einheit Rudolstadt — last 5
DWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Bautzen — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Einheit Rudolstadt (home) | Bautzen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.28 vs 2.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (7%) |
| Double chance — Einheit Rudolstadt or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Bautzen or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Einheit Rudolstadt clean sheet | 10% |
| Bautzen clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bautzen is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Bautzen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.6, this shapes as an open game (72% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Einheit Rudolstadt vs Bautzen — FAQ
Who will win Einheit Rudolstadt vs Bautzen?
Our statistical model makes Bautzen the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Einheit Rudolstadt 39%, draw 21%, Bautzen 40%.
Will both teams score in Einheit Rudolstadt vs Bautzen?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Einheit Rudolstadt vs Bautzen?
Expected goals are 2.28 for Einheit Rudolstadt and 2.31 for Bautzen — about 4.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Einheit Rudolstadt vs Bautzen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (7%). Double chance for Einheit Rudolstadt or draw is 59%.