Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg Prediction & Preview
Bundesliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BUNDESLIGA (GERMANY)
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg
Model pick: Eintracht Frankfurt (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.93 – 1.1
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Augsburg |
|---|
| League position | #33 (4 pts) | #3 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.8 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.2 / 2.2 | 4.6 / 1.2 |
*Eintracht Frankfurt shown at home, Augsburg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Eintracht Frankfurt — last 5
WWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Augsburg — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Eintracht Frankfurt (home) | Augsburg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-3 in 4 (1.5 / 2.8 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 56% |
Bundesliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Bundesliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.93 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Eintracht Frankfurt or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Augsburg or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 33% |
| Augsburg clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Eintracht Frankfurt is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Eintracht Frankfurt are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg — FAQ
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg?
Our statistical model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 51%, draw 24%, Augsburg 26%.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg?
Expected goals are 1.93 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.1 for Augsburg — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Eintracht Frankfurt or draw is 79%.