Eintracht Trier vs Freiburg II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Eintracht Trier vs Freiburg II
Model pick: Draw (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.38 – 0.4
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 16%
Both teams score: 28%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Eintracht Trier | Freiburg II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
*Eintracht Trier shown at home, Freiburg II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Eintracht Trier — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Freiburg II — last 5
WDWDD
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Eintracht Trier (home) | Freiburg II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 42% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.26
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.38 vs 0.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (46%) |
| Double chance — Eintracht Trier or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Freiburg II or draw (X2) | 77% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 47% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Eintracht Trier clean sheet | 67% |
| Freiburg II clean sheet | 68% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (84% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Eintracht Trier vs Freiburg II — FAQ
Who will win Eintracht Trier vs Freiburg II?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Eintracht Trier 24%, draw 50%, Freiburg II 26%.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Trier vs Freiburg II?
The model gives a 28% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Eintracht Trier vs Freiburg II?
Expected goals are 0.38 for Eintracht Trier and 0.4 for Freiburg II — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Eintracht Trier vs Freiburg II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (46%). Double chance for Eintracht Trier or draw is 76%.