Eltersdorf vs Furth II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Eltersdorf vs Furth II
Model pick: Draw (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.41 – 0.56
Total goals: 1.0
Over 2.5: 20%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Eltersdorf | Furth II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Eltersdorf shown at home, Furth II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Eltersdorf — last 5
DWLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Furth II — last 5
WLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Eltersdorf (home) | Furth II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.31
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.41 vs 0.56):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (38%) |
| Double chance — Eltersdorf or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Furth II or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 53% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Eltersdorf clean sheet | 57% |
| Furth II clean sheet | 66% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (80% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Eltersdorf vs Furth II — FAQ
Who will win Eltersdorf vs Furth II?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Eltersdorf 23%, draw 45%, Furth II 32%.
Will both teams score in Eltersdorf vs Furth II?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Eltersdorf vs Furth II?
Expected goals are 0.41 for Eltersdorf and 0.56 for Furth II — about 1.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Eltersdorf vs Furth II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (38%). Double chance for Eltersdorf or draw is 68%.