Eltersdorf vs Nurnberg II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Eltersdorf vs Nurnberg II
Model pick: Draw (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.29 – 0.22
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 9%
Both teams score: 21%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Eltersdorf | Nurnberg II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
*Eltersdorf shown at home, Nurnberg II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Eltersdorf — last 5
LDWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Nurnberg II — last 5
DWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Eltersdorf (home) | Nurnberg II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.36
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.29 vs 0.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (60%) |
| Double chance — Eltersdorf or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Nurnberg II or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 36% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Eltersdorf clean sheet | 80% |
| Nurnberg II clean sheet | 75% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (91% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Eltersdorf vs Nurnberg II — FAQ
Who will win Eltersdorf vs Nurnberg II?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Eltersdorf 23%, draw 60%, Nurnberg II 17%.
Will both teams score in Eltersdorf vs Nurnberg II?
The model gives a 21% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Eltersdorf vs Nurnberg II?
Expected goals are 0.29 for Eltersdorf and 0.22 for Nurnberg II — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Eltersdorf vs Nurnberg II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (60%). Double chance for Eltersdorf or draw is 85%.