Elversberg II vs Worms Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Elversberg II vs Worms
Model pick: Worms (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.0 – 2.81
Total goals: 4.8
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 69%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Elversberg II | Worms |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.0 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 4.25 |
*Elversberg II shown at home, Worms shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Elversberg II — last 5
W
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Worms — last 5
DLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Elversberg II (home) | Worms (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.05
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.0 vs 2.81):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Elversberg II or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Worms or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Elversberg II clean sheet | 6% |
| Worms clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Worms is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Worms edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.8, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Elversberg II vs Worms — FAQ
Who will win Elversberg II vs Worms?
Our statistical model makes Worms the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Elversberg II 28%, draw 20%, Worms 52%.
Will both teams score in Elversberg II vs Worms?
The model gives a 69% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Elversberg II vs Worms?
Expected goals are 2.0 for Elversberg II and 2.81 for Worms — about 4.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Elversberg II vs Worms?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (6%). Double chance for Elversberg II or draw is 45%.