Emden vs Hannover 96 II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Emden vs Hannover 96 II
Model pick: Hannover 96 II (89%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.64 – 4.22
Total goals: 4.9
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Emden | Hannover 96 II |
|---|
| League position | #13 (4 pts) | #4 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 2.5 | 2.5 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 3.8 | 2.0 / 0.6 |
*Emden shown at home, Hannover 96 II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Emden — last 5
LDWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Hannover 96 II — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 68% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Emden (home) | Hannover 96 II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 2.5 goals per game) | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.5 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 68% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.64 vs 4.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-4 (11%) |
| Double chance — Emden or draw (1X) | 7% |
| Double chance — Hannover 96 II or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 95% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Emden clean sheet | 2% |
| Hannover 96 II clean sheet | 53% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hannover 96 II is the model's most likely outcome at
89%. Despite playing away, Hannover 96 II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.9, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Emden vs Hannover 96 II — FAQ
Who will win Emden vs Hannover 96 II?
Our statistical model makes Hannover 96 II the most likely result at 89%. Full probabilities: Emden 3%, draw 7%, Hannover 96 II 89%.
Will both teams score in Emden vs Hannover 96 II?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Emden vs Hannover 96 II?
Expected goals are 0.64 for Emden and 4.22 for Hannover 96 II — about 4.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Emden vs Hannover 96 II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-4 (11%). Double chance for Emden or draw is 7%.