Emley vs Ashton United Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Emley vs Ashton United
Model pick: Emley (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.81 – 0.58
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Emley | Ashton United |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Emley shown at home, Ashton United shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Emley — last 5
DLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Ashton United — last 5
WLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Emley (home) | Ashton United (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 56% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.81 vs 0.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (25%) |
| Double chance — Emley or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Ashton United or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 62% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Emley clean sheet | 56% |
| Ashton United clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Emley is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Emley are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Emley vs Ashton United — FAQ
Who will win Emley vs Ashton United?
Our statistical model makes Emley the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Emley 37%, draw 37%, Ashton United 25%.
Will both teams score in Emley vs Ashton United?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Emley vs Ashton United?
Expected goals are 0.81 for Emley and 0.58 for Ashton United — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Emley vs Ashton United?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (25%). Double chance for Emley or draw is 76%.