Emley vs Guiseley Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Emley vs Guiseley
Model pick: Guiseley (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.93 – 1.3
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Emley | Guiseley |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 |
*Emley shown at home, Guiseley shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Emley — last 5
LWWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Guiseley — last 5
WDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Emley (home) | Guiseley (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 44% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.93 vs 1.3):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Emley or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Guiseley or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Emley clean sheet | 27% |
| Guiseley clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Guiseley is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Guiseley edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Emley vs Guiseley — FAQ
Who will win Emley vs Guiseley?
Our statistical model makes Guiseley the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Emley 28%, draw 29%, Guiseley 43%.
Will both teams score in Emley vs Guiseley?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Emley vs Guiseley?
Expected goals are 0.93 for Emley and 1.3 for Guiseley — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Emley vs Guiseley?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Emley or draw is 55%.