Emmen vs Roda JC Prediction & Preview
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EERSTE DIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
Emmen vs Roda JC
Model pick: Emmen (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.38
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Emmen | Roda JC |
|---|
| League position | #6 (0 pts) | #14 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Emmen shown at home, Roda JC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Emmen — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Roda JC — last 5
DDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Emmen (home) | Roda JC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 57% |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.14
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 1.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Emmen or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Roda JC or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Emmen clean sheet | 25% |
| Roda JC clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Emmen is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Emmen are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Emmen vs Roda JC — FAQ
Who will win Emmen vs Roda JC?
Our statistical model makes Emmen the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Emmen 38%, draw 26%, Roda JC 36%.
Will both teams score in Emmen vs Roda JC?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Emmen vs Roda JC?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Emmen and 1.38 for Roda JC — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Emmen vs Roda JC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Emmen or draw is 64%.