EPS vs HJS Prediction & Preview
Kakkonen (Finland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
KAKKONEN (FINLAND)
EPS vs HJS
Model pick: EPS (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.17 – 0.8
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| EPS | HJS |
|---|
| League position | #11 (24 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 1.8 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 55% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
*EPS shown at home, HJS shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
EPS — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
HJS — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | EPS (home) | HJS (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-4 in 11 (1.6 / 1.8 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 33% |
Kakkonen (Finland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.03
Home wins: 55%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Kakkonen (Finland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.17 vs 0.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — EPS or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — HJS or draw (X2) | 31% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| EPS clean sheet | 45% |
| HJS clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
EPS is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. EPS are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ EPS vs HJS — FAQ
Who will win EPS vs HJS?
Our statistical model makes EPS the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: EPS 64%, draw 21%, HJS 15%.
Will both teams score in EPS vs HJS?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in EPS vs HJS?
Expected goals are 2.17 for EPS and 0.8 for HJS — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in EPS vs HJS?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (12%). Double chance for EPS or draw is 88%.