Erdi vs Ferencvaros II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Erdi vs Ferencvaros II
Model pick: Ferencvaros II (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.48
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Erdi | Ferencvaros II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Erdi shown at home, Ferencvaros II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Erdi — last 5
DWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Ferencvaros II — last 5
WDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Erdi (home) | Ferencvaros II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.29 vs 1.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Erdi or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — Ferencvaros II or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Erdi clean sheet | 23% |
| Ferencvaros II clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ferencvaros II is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Ferencvaros II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Erdi vs Ferencvaros II — FAQ
Who will win Erdi vs Ferencvaros II?
Our statistical model makes Ferencvaros II the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Erdi 33%, draw 26%, Ferencvaros II 40%.
Will both teams score in Erdi vs Ferencvaros II?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Erdi vs Ferencvaros II?
Expected goals are 1.29 for Erdi and 1.48 for Ferencvaros II — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Erdi vs Ferencvaros II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Erdi or draw is 58%.