Erdi vs Pecsi MFC Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Erdi vs Pecsi MFC
Model pick: Pecsi MFC (90%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.71 – 4.45
Total goals: 5.2
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Erdi | Pecsi MFC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 1.5 | 3.0 / 0.2 |
*Erdi shown at home, Pecsi MFC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Erdi — last 5
WDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Pecsi MFC — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Erdi (home) | Pecsi MFC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.71 vs 4.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-4 (10%) |
| Double chance — Erdi or draw (1X) | 7% |
| Double chance — Pecsi MFC or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 95% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Erdi clean sheet | 1% |
| Pecsi MFC clean sheet | 49% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pecsi MFC is the model's most likely outcome at
90%. Despite playing away, Pecsi MFC edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.2, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Erdi vs Pecsi MFC — FAQ
Who will win Erdi vs Pecsi MFC?
Our statistical model makes Pecsi MFC the most likely result at 90%. Full probabilities: Erdi 3%, draw 7%, Pecsi MFC 90%.
Will both teams score in Erdi vs Pecsi MFC?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Erdi vs Pecsi MFC?
Expected goals are 0.71 for Erdi and 4.45 for Pecsi MFC — about 5.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Erdi vs Pecsi MFC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-4 (10%). Double chance for Erdi or draw is 7%.