ES Sétif vs Ben Aknoun Prediction & Preview
Division-1 (Algeria) · Aug 27, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION-1 (ALGERIA)
ES Sétif vs Ben Aknoun
Model pick: ES Sétif (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.58 – 0.99
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| ES Sétif | Ben Aknoun |
|---|
| League position | #3 (0 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
*ES Sétif shown at home, Ben Aknoun shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
ES Sétif — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 52% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Ben Aknoun — last 5
WLDDD
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 37% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | ES Sétif (home) | Ben Aknoun (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 52% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 41% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 37% |
Division-1 (Algeria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.19
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 43%
Use these Division-1 (Algeria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.58 vs 0.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — ES Sétif or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Ben Aknoun or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| ES Sétif clean sheet | 37% |
| Ben Aknoun clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
ES Sétif is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. ES Sétif are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ ES Sétif vs Ben Aknoun — FAQ
Who will win ES Sétif vs Ben Aknoun?
Our statistical model makes ES Sétif the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: ES Sétif 48%, draw 26%, Ben Aknoun 25%.
Will both teams score in ES Sétif vs Ben Aknoun?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in ES Sétif vs Ben Aknoun?
Expected goals are 1.58 for ES Sétif and 0.99 for Ben Aknoun — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in ES Sétif vs Ben Aknoun?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for ES Sétif or draw is 76%.