Escorpiones vs Cartaginés Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Costa Rica) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 23:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (COSTA RICA)
Escorpiones vs Cartaginés
Model pick: Escorpiones (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.46 – 0.56
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Escorpiones | Cartaginés |
|---|
| League position | #4 (4 pts) | #3 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 0.67 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*Escorpiones shown at home, Cartaginés shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Escorpiones — last 5
WLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Cartaginés — last 5
DLWDL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Escorpiones (home) | Cartaginés (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 47% |
Primera Division (Costa Rica) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.71
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Primera Division (Costa Rica) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.46 vs 0.56):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Escorpiones or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Cartaginés or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Escorpiones clean sheet | 57% |
| Cartaginés clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Escorpiones is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Escorpiones are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Escorpiones vs Cartaginés — FAQ
Who will win Escorpiones vs Cartaginés?
Our statistical model makes Escorpiones the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Escorpiones 55%, draw 28%, Cartaginés 16%.
Will both teams score in Escorpiones vs Cartaginés?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Escorpiones vs Cartaginés?
Expected goals are 1.46 for Escorpiones and 0.56 for Cartaginés — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Escorpiones vs Cartaginés?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Escorpiones or draw is 86%.