Escorpiones vs Pérez Zeledón Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Costa Rica) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 00:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (COSTA RICA)
Escorpiones vs Pérez Zeledón
Model pick: Escorpiones (88%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.74 – 0.55
Total goals: 4.3
Over 2.5: 69%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Escorpiones | Pérez Zeledón |
|---|
| League position | #3 (3 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.0 / 5.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 2.2 |
*Escorpiones shown at home, Pérez Zeledón shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Escorpiones — last 5
WL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Pérez Zeledón — last 5
DLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Escorpiones (home) | Pérez Zeledón (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 5.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 54% |
Primera Division (Costa Rica) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.71
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Primera Division (Costa Rica) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.74 vs 0.55):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Escorpiones or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Pérez Zeledón or draw (X2) | 8% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Escorpiones clean sheet | 58% |
| Pérez Zeledón clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Escorpiones is the model's most likely outcome at
88%. Escorpiones are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.3, this shapes as an open game (69% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Escorpiones vs Pérez Zeledón — FAQ
Who will win Escorpiones vs Pérez Zeledón?
Our statistical model makes Escorpiones the most likely result at 88%. Full probabilities: Escorpiones 88%, draw 9%, Pérez Zeledón 4%.
Will both teams score in Escorpiones vs Pérez Zeledón?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Escorpiones vs Pérez Zeledón?
Expected goals are 3.74 for Escorpiones and 0.55 for Pérez Zeledón — about 4.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Escorpiones vs Pérez Zeledón?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (12%). Double chance for Escorpiones or draw is 98%.