ESMTK Budapest vs Sandorfalvi Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
ESMTK Budapest vs Sandorfalvi
Model pick: ESMTK Budapest (75%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.86 – 0.75
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| ESMTK Budapest | Sandorfalvi |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.25 | 0.75 / 3.75 |
*ESMTK Budapest shown at home, Sandorfalvi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
ESMTK Budapest — last 5
WDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Sandorfalvi — last 5
LLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | ESMTK Budapest (home) | Sandorfalvi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.86 vs 0.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — ESMTK Budapest or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Sandorfalvi or draw (X2) | 20% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| ESMTK Budapest clean sheet | 47% |
| Sandorfalvi clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
ESMTK Budapest is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. ESMTK Budapest are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ ESMTK Budapest vs Sandorfalvi — FAQ
Who will win ESMTK Budapest vs Sandorfalvi?
Our statistical model makes ESMTK Budapest the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: ESMTK Budapest 75%, draw 15%, Sandorfalvi 9%.
Will both teams score in ESMTK Budapest vs Sandorfalvi?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in ESMTK Budapest vs Sandorfalvi?
Expected goals are 2.86 for ESMTK Budapest and 0.75 for Sandorfalvi — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in ESMTK Budapest vs Sandorfalvi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for ESMTK Budapest or draw is 93%.