ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II
Model pick: ESMTK Budapest (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.63 – 1.6
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| ESMTK Budapest | Vasas II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
*ESMTK Budapest shown at home, Vasas II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
ESMTK Budapest — last 5
LWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Vasas II — last 5
DLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | ESMTK Budapest (home) | Vasas II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.63 vs 1.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — ESMTK Budapest or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Vasas II or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| ESMTK Budapest clean sheet | 20% |
| Vasas II clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
ESMTK Budapest is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. ESMTK Budapest are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II — FAQ
Who will win ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II?
Our statistical model makes ESMTK Budapest the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: ESMTK Budapest 38%, draw 25%, Vasas II 37%.
Will both teams score in ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II?
Expected goals are 1.63 for ESMTK Budapest and 1.6 for Vasas II — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for ESMTK Budapest or draw is 62%.