Espanyol vs Levante Prediction & Preview
LaLiga · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LALIGA
Espanyol vs Levante
Model pick: Espanyol (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.58 – 1.26
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Espanyol | Levante |
|---|
| League position | #16 (0 pts) | #20 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Espanyol shown at home, Levante shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Espanyol — last 5
WDDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Levante — last 5
LWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Espanyol (home) | Levante (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 48% |
LaLiga — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 52%
Use these LaLiga averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.58 vs 1.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Espanyol or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Levante or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Espanyol clean sheet | 28% |
| Levante clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Espanyol is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Espanyol are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Espanyol vs Levante — FAQ
Who will win Espanyol vs Levante?
Our statistical model makes Espanyol the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Espanyol 45%, draw 28%, Levante 27%.
Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Levante?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Espanyol vs Levante?
Expected goals are 1.58 for Espanyol and 1.26 for Levante — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Espanyol vs Levante?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Espanyol or draw is 70%.