Essingen vs Balingen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Essingen vs Balingen
Model pick: Essingen (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.79 – 0.94
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Essingen | Balingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.33 / 1.33 | 0.5 / 5.0 |
*Essingen shown at home, Balingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Essingen — last 5
WWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Balingen — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Essingen (home) | Balingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.79 vs 0.94):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Essingen or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Balingen or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Essingen clean sheet | 39% |
| Balingen clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Essingen is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Essingen are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Essingen vs Balingen — FAQ
Who will win Essingen vs Balingen?
Our statistical model makes Essingen the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Essingen 54%, draw 25%, Balingen 22%.
Will both teams score in Essingen vs Balingen?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Essingen vs Balingen?
Expected goals are 1.79 for Essingen and 0.94 for Balingen — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Essingen vs Balingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Essingen or draw is 80%.