Essingen vs Neckarsulm Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Essingen vs Neckarsulm
Model pick: Essingen (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.87 – 0.25
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 23%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Essingen | Neckarsulm |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.25 / 1.25 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
*Essingen shown at home, Neckarsulm shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Essingen — last 5
WWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Neckarsulm — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Essingen (home) | Neckarsulm (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.87 vs 0.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (33%) |
| Double chance — Essingen or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Neckarsulm or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Essingen clean sheet | 78% |
| Neckarsulm clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Essingen is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Essingen are backed at home, where they average 3.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (77% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Essingen vs Neckarsulm — FAQ
Who will win Essingen vs Neckarsulm?
Our statistical model makes Essingen the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Essingen 48%, draw 40%, Neckarsulm 12%.
Will both teams score in Essingen vs Neckarsulm?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Essingen vs Neckarsulm?
Expected goals are 0.87 for Essingen and 0.25 for Neckarsulm — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Essingen vs Neckarsulm?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (33%). Double chance for Essingen or draw is 90%.