Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Sep 01, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC
Model pick: Chadormalu SC (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.81 – 1.04
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Esteghlal Khuzestan | Chadormalu SC |
|---|
| League position | #17 (1 pts) | #18 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.5 | 0.0 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 2.0 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Esteghlal Khuzestan shown at home, Chadormalu SC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Esteghlal Khuzestan — last 5
WLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 30% of home games go over 2.5.
Chadormalu SC — last 5
WWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 32% of the time; 29% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Esteghlal Khuzestan (home) | Chadormalu SC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.0 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 29% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.81 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — Esteghlal Khuzestan or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Chadormalu SC or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Esteghlal Khuzestan clean sheet | 35% |
| Chadormalu SC clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chadormalu SC is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Chadormalu SC edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC — FAQ
Who will win Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC?
Our statistical model makes Chadormalu SC the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Esteghlal Khuzestan 29%, draw 32%, Chadormalu SC 39%.
Will both teams score in Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC?
Expected goals are 0.81 for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.04 for Chadormalu SC — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for Esteghlal Khuzestan or draw is 60%.