Etoile du Sahel vs JS Omrane Prediction & Preview
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 1 (TUNISIA)
Etoile du Sahel vs JS Omrane
Model pick: Etoile du Sahel (66%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.07 – 0.62
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Etoile du Sahel | JS Omrane |
|---|
| League position | #7 (3 pts) | #9 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.2 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Etoile du Sahel shown at home, JS Omrane shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Etoile du Sahel — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 55% of the time; 37% of home games go over 2.5.
JS Omrane — last 5
WLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 39% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Etoile du Sahel (home) | JS Omrane (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 55% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 39% |
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.98
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 37%
Use these Ligue 1 (Tunisia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.07 vs 0.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Etoile du Sahel or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — JS Omrane or draw (X2) | 29% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Etoile du Sahel clean sheet | 54% |
| JS Omrane clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Etoile du Sahel is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Etoile du Sahel are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Etoile du Sahel vs JS Omrane — FAQ
Who will win Etoile du Sahel vs JS Omrane?
Our statistical model makes Etoile du Sahel the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Etoile du Sahel 66%, draw 21%, JS Omrane 12%.
Will both teams score in Etoile du Sahel vs JS Omrane?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Etoile du Sahel vs JS Omrane?
Expected goals are 2.07 for Etoile du Sahel and 0.62 for JS Omrane — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Etoile du Sahel vs JS Omrane?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (15%). Double chance for Etoile du Sahel or draw is 90%.