Everton vs Colo Colo Prediction & Preview
Liga De Primera (Chile) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA DE PRIMERA (CHILE)
Everton vs Colo Colo
Model pick: Colo Colo (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.99 – 1.3
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Everton | Colo Colo |
|---|
| League position | #7 (22 pts) | #1 (39 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 38% | 86% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*Everton shown at home, Colo Colo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Everton — last 5
LLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Colo Colo — last 5
LLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Everton (home) | Colo Colo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-3-2 in 8 (1.1 / 0.9 goals per game) | 6-0-1 in 7 (1.7 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Cristian Palacios (3) | – |
Liga De Primera (Chile) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Liga De Primera (Chile) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.99 vs 1.3):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Everton or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Colo Colo or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Everton clean sheet | 27% |
| Colo Colo clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Colo Colo is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Colo Colo edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Everton vs Colo Colo — FAQ
Who will win Everton vs Colo Colo?
Our statistical model makes Colo Colo the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Everton 26%, draw 27%, Colo Colo 46%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Colo Colo?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Everton vs Colo Colo?
Expected goals are 0.99 for Everton and 1.3 for Colo Colo — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Everton vs Colo Colo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Everton or draw is 56%.