Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction & Preview
EFL Cup (England) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EFL CUP (ENGLAND)
Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Model pick: Draw (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
37%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Expected goals: 0.21 – 0.57
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 15%
Both teams score: 26%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Everton | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|
| League position | #7 (4 pts) | #20 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 0.4 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.6 | 2.6 / 1.6 |
*Everton shown at home, Wolverhampton Wanderers shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Everton — last 5
WDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Wolverhampton Wanderers — last 5
DWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Everton (home) | Wolverhampton Wanderers (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-6-13 in 19 (0.4 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 47% |
EFL Cup (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 55%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 55%
Use these EFL Cup (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.21 vs 0.57):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (46%) |
| Double chance — Everton or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 49% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Everton clean sheet | 57% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet | 81% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (85% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers — FAQ
Who will win Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Everton 13%, draw 49%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 37%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
The model gives a 26% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Expected goals are 0.21 for Everton and 0.57 for Wolverhampton Wanderers — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (46%). Double chance for Everton or draw is 63%.