Evesham vs Chichester Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Evesham vs Chichester
Model pick: Chichester (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 2.02
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Evesham | Chichester |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Evesham shown at home, Chichester shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Evesham — last 5
WLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Chichester — last 5
DLW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Evesham (home) | Chichester (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 2.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — Evesham or draw (1X) | 48% |
| Double chance — Chichester or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 45% / 55% |
| Evesham clean sheet | 13% |
| Chichester clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chichester is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, Chichester edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Evesham vs Chichester — FAQ
Who will win Evesham vs Chichester?
Our statistical model makes Chichester the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Evesham 28%, draw 23%, Chichester 49%.
Will both teams score in Evesham vs Chichester?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Evesham vs Chichester?
Expected goals are 1.4 for Evesham and 2.02 for Chichester — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Evesham vs Chichester?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for Evesham or draw is 48%.