Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway
Model pick: Evesham (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.07 – 3.9
Total goals: 8.0
Over 2.5: 90%
Both teams score: 83%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Evesham | Plymouth Parkway |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.2 | 2.6 / 1.0 |
*Evesham shown at home, Plymouth Parkway shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Evesham — last 5
DWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Plymouth Parkway — last 5
WWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Evesham (home) | Plymouth Parkway (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 50% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.07 vs 3.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-3 (4%) |
| Double chance — Evesham or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Plymouth Parkway or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Evesham clean sheet | 2% |
| Plymouth Parkway clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Evesham is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Evesham are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. With expected goals of 8.0, this shapes as an open game (90% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway — FAQ
Who will win Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our statistical model makes Evesham the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Evesham 44%, draw 17%, Plymouth Parkway 40%.
Will both teams score in Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway?
The model gives a 83% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway?
Expected goals are 4.07 for Evesham and 3.9 for Plymouth Parkway — about 8.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-3 (4%). Double chance for Evesham or draw is 60%.