Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol Prediction & Preview
Segunda B (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA B (SPAIN)
Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol
Model pick: Racing Ferrol (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.93
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Extremadura 1924 | Racing Ferrol |
|---|
| League position | #20 (0 pts) | #1 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*Extremadura 1924 shown at home, Racing Ferrol shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Extremadura 1924 — last 5
DWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 85% of home games go over 2.5.
Racing Ferrol — last 5
DLDDD
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 34% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Extremadura 1924 (home) | Racing Ferrol (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85% | 34% |
Segunda B (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Segunda B (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.38 vs 1.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Extremadura 1924 or draw (1X) | 50% |
| Double chance — Racing Ferrol or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Extremadura 1924 clean sheet | 15% |
| Racing Ferrol clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Racing Ferrol is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Racing Ferrol edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol — FAQ
Who will win Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol?
Our statistical model makes Racing Ferrol the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Extremadura 1924 28%, draw 24%, Racing Ferrol 48%.
Will both teams score in Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol?
Expected goals are 1.38 for Extremadura 1924 and 1.93 for Racing Ferrol — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Extremadura 1924 or draw is 50%.