Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK Prediction & Preview
Super Lig (Turkey) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIG (TURKEY)
Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK
Model pick: Eyüpspor (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.5 – 1.04
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Eyüpspor | Gaziantep FK |
|---|
| League position | #15 (0 pts) | #11 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Eyüpspor shown at home, Gaziantep FK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Eyüpspor — last 5
WDWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Gaziantep FK — last 5
LDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Eyüpspor (home) | Gaziantep FK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 41% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 59% |
Super Lig (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Super Lig (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.5 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Eyüpspor or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Gaziantep FK or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Eyüpspor clean sheet | 35% |
| Gaziantep FK clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Eyüpspor is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Eyüpspor are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK — FAQ
Who will win Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK?
Our statistical model makes Eyüpspor the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Eyüpspor 37%, draw 29%, Gaziantep FK 34%.
Will both teams score in Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK?
Expected goals are 1.5 for Eyüpspor and 1.04 for Gaziantep FK — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Eyüpspor or draw is 74%.