FA Šiauliai vs Banga Prediction & Preview
A Lyga (Lithuania) · Aug 03, 2026 · kickoff 15:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
A LYGA (LITHUANIA)
FA Šiauliai vs Banga
Model pick: FA Šiauliai (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.03
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FA Šiauliai | Banga |
|---|
| League position | #9 (13 pts) | #6 (30 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.7 / 2.3 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 22% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 2.6 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
*FA Šiauliai shown at home, Banga shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FA Šiauliai — last 5
DDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Banga — last 5
DWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FA Šiauliai (home) | Banga (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-6 in 9 (0.7 / 2.3 goals per game) | 4-3-4 in 11 (0.7 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 41% |
A Lyga (Lithuania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.64
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 47%
Use these A Lyga (Lithuania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.38 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — FA Šiauliai or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Banga or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| FA Šiauliai clean sheet | 36% |
| Banga clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FA Šiauliai is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. FA Šiauliai are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FA Šiauliai vs Banga — FAQ
Who will win FA Šiauliai vs Banga?
Our statistical model makes FA Šiauliai the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: FA Šiauliai 43%, draw 28%, Banga 29%.
Will both teams score in FA Šiauliai vs Banga?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FA Šiauliai vs Banga?
Expected goals are 1.38 for FA Šiauliai and 1.03 for Banga — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FA Šiauliai vs Banga?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for FA Šiauliai or draw is 72%.