FA Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai Prediction & Preview
A Lyga (Lithuania) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
A LYGA (LITHUANIA)
FA Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai
Model pick: FA Šiauliai (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.01
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FA Šiauliai | Džiugas Telšiai |
|---|
| League position | #9 (13 pts) | #4 (34 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.7 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 20% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
*FA Šiauliai shown at home, Džiugas Telšiai shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FA Šiauliai — last 5
DLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Džiugas Telšiai — last 5
DDWLD
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FA Šiauliai (home) | Džiugas Telšiai (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-7 in 10 (0.7 / 2.4 goals per game) | 3-5-2 in 10 (1.2 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 44% |
A Lyga (Lithuania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.64
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 47%
Use these A Lyga (Lithuania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — FA Šiauliai or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Džiugas Telšiai or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| FA Šiauliai clean sheet | 36% |
| Džiugas Telšiai clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FA Šiauliai is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. FA Šiauliai are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FA Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai — FAQ
Who will win FA Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Our statistical model makes FA Šiauliai the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: FA Šiauliai 46%, draw 27%, Džiugas Telšiai 27%.
Will both teams score in FA Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FA Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Expected goals are 1.47 for FA Šiauliai and 1.01 for Džiugas Telšiai — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FA Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for FA Šiauliai or draw is 74%.