FA Šiauliai vs Panevėžys Prediction & Preview
A Lyga (Lithuania) · Aug 17, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
A LYGA (LITHUANIA)
FA Šiauliai vs Panevėžys
Model pick: Panevėžys (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.52
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FA Šiauliai | Panevėžys |
|---|
| League position | #9 (13 pts) | #7 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 2.5 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 18% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 3.2 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*FA Šiauliai shown at home, Panevėžys shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FA Šiauliai — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Panevėžys — last 5
LDLDW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FA Šiauliai (home) | Panevėžys (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-8 in 11 (0.9 / 2.5 goals per game) | 3-0-8 in 11 (0.8 / 2.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 54% |
A Lyga (Lithuania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.64
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 47%
Use these A Lyga (Lithuania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.27 vs 1.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — FA Šiauliai or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Panevėžys or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| FA Šiauliai clean sheet | 22% |
| Panevėžys clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Panevėžys is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Panevėžys edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ FA Šiauliai vs Panevėžys — FAQ
Who will win FA Šiauliai vs Panevėžys?
Our statistical model makes Panevėžys the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: FA Šiauliai 32%, draw 26%, Panevėžys 42%.
Will both teams score in FA Šiauliai vs Panevėžys?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FA Šiauliai vs Panevėžys?
Expected goals are 1.27 for FA Šiauliai and 1.52 for Panevėžys — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FA Šiauliai vs Panevėžys?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for FA Šiauliai or draw is 57%.