FA Šiauliai vs Sūduva Prediction & Preview
A Lyga (Lithuania) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
A LYGA (LITHUANIA)
FA Šiauliai vs Sūduva
Model pick: Sūduva (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.18 – 1.43
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FA Šiauliai | Sūduva |
|---|
| League position | #9 (16 pts) | #1 (42 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
*FA Šiauliai shown at home, Sūduva shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FA Šiauliai — last 5
LLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Sūduva — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FA Šiauliai (home) | Sūduva (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-1-8 in 12 (0.9 / 2.3 goals per game) | 4-4-3 in 11 (1.4 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 58% |
A Lyga (Lithuania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.64
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 47%
Use these A Lyga (Lithuania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.18 vs 1.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — FA Šiauliai or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Sūduva or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| FA Šiauliai clean sheet | 24% |
| Sūduva clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sūduva is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Sūduva edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FA Šiauliai vs Sūduva — FAQ
Who will win FA Šiauliai vs Sūduva?
Our statistical model makes Sūduva the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: FA Šiauliai 31%, draw 27%, Sūduva 42%.
Will both teams score in FA Šiauliai vs Sūduva?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FA Šiauliai vs Sūduva?
Expected goals are 1.18 for FA Šiauliai and 1.43 for Sūduva — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FA Šiauliai vs Sūduva?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for FA Šiauliai or draw is 57%.